Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 177.5 Over |
| Money | CP +114 CSUN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +1 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -0.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 177.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -0.1 (-0.9) | 165.2 (+27.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -0.1 (-0.9) | 163.6 (+29.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -0.0 (-1.0) | 165.9 (+27.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.2 (-0.8) | 166.1 (+26.9) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
| Dec 29, 2023 | CSUN 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.3 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#254) | -2.0 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#233) | 0.09 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#237) | -0.06 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#234) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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