Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | CP +135 CSUN -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -3.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.0 (-7.0) | 144.0 (+12.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -4.0 (-6.0) | 140.6 (+15.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.4 (-7.6) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.8 (-7.2) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#301) | -0.2 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#257) | 0.28 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#274) | -0.19 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#316) | 0.473 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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