Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 175.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -325 CP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -4.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -3.8 (+1.2) | 160.2 (+24.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -4.7 (+0.3) | 159.5 (+25.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -4.4 (+0.6) | 161.2 (+23.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -4.7 (+0.3) | 159.7 (+25.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
| Dec 29, 2023 | CSUN 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 85.3 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#214) | -4.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#170) | -0.70 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#176) | -1.16 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#157) | 0.456 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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