Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Big West Conference · Premier America Credit Union Arena · January 9, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CSUN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 175.5 Over
Money CSUN -325 / CP +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUN win
Actual CSUN +5 185 Won
Massey CSUN -4.8 (+0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 173.2 (+11.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CSUN -4.7 (+0.3) 159.7 (+25.3) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CSUN -3.8 (+1.2) 160.2 (+24.8) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CSUN -4.7 (+0.3) 159.5 (+25.5) 71% ✓
Baseline ML CSUN -4.4 (+0.6) 161.2 (+23.8) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 CSUN 97 – 96 CP
Feb 16, 2025 CSUN 89 – 85 CP
Dec 8, 2024 CSUN 102 – 91 CP
Feb 9, 2024 CSUN 78 – 65 CP
Dec 29, 2023 CSUN 83 – 73 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUN CP
Overall 20-14 14-19
Conference 12-8 10-10
Home 12-3 8-6
Away 7-8 6-11
Neutral 1-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.6 81.4
Avg Pts Against 81.3 85.3
Massey -3.2 (#214) -4.3 (#234)
Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#170) -0.70 (#236)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#176) -1.16 (#246)
RPI 0.505 (#157) 0.456 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUN CP
FG% 45.0% 41.0%
3PT% 32.2% 33.9%
REB / G 38.2 38.8
OREB / G 11.6 11.5
AST / TO 1.13 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 49.8%
TOV% 18.9% 21.2%
ORB% 31.4% 30.1%
FT Rate 26.1% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 15.7%
DRB% 73.4% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 27.9%

Game Analysis

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