Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | CP +115 CSUN -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +11 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | CP -2.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.5 (+27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -2.2 (-13.2) | 160.1 (+32.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -0.4 (-11.4) | 160.4 (+32.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -1.3 (-12.3) | 156.2 (+36.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CP -1.8 (-12.8) | 155.6 (+37.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
| Dec 29, 2023 | CSUN 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#126) | 4.9 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#77) | 0.62 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#82) | 0.31 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#80) | 0.491 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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