Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -600 CP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -11.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -8.9 (+4.1) | 141.1 (+1.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -8.4 (+4.6) | 138.5 (+4.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -9.2 (+3.8) | 138.0 (+5.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -9.2 (+3.8) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Dec 29, 2023 | CSUN 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-20 |
| Home | 9-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#219) | -11.0 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#182) | -2.01 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#205) | -2.52 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#212) | 0.386 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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