I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Bellarmine Knights
92 – 71
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · February 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -4.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money BELL -230 / STET +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual BELL +21 163 Won
Massey BELL -7.1 (+13.9) — —
Massey Totals — 155.7 (+7.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -4.9 (+16.1) 148.5 (+14.5) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -5.0 (+16.0) 148.2 (+14.8) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -3.9 (+17.1) 147.5 (+15.5) 66% ✓
Baseline ML BELL -4.2 (+16.8) 149.3 (+13.7) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2025 STET 69 – 67 BELL
Jan 25, 2025 STET 81 – 76 BELL
Feb 7, 2024 STET 84 – 77 BELL
Jan 12, 2023 STET 80 – 51 BELL
Jan 28, 2022 BELL 72 – 47 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL STET
Overall 13-19 12-21
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 10-5 9-5
Away 2-13 2-14
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 71.9
Avg Pts Against 83.3 79.9
Massey -8.2 (#292) -12.2 (#333)
Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#290) -1.54 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.84 (#291) -1.89 (#294)
RPI 0.430 (#305) 0.420 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL STET
FG% 50.4% 42.9%
3PT% 35.5% 32.6%
REB / G 27.2 32.0
OREB / G 6.3 9.2
AST / TO 1.32 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.6% 50.1%
TOV% 16.0% 18.8%
ORB% 21.7% 26.3%
FT Rate 28.9% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.5% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 15.7%
DRB% 65.0% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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