Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -230 STET +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +21 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -7.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -5.0 (+16.0) | 148.2 (+14.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -3.9 (+17.1) | 147.5 (+15.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.2 (+16.8) | 149.3 (+13.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -4.9 (+16.1) | 148.5 (+14.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2025 | STET 69 – 67 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STET 81 – 76 BELL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | STET 84 – 77 BELL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | STET 80 – 51 BELL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | BELL 72 – 47 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#292) | -12.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#290) | -1.54 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#291) | -1.89 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#305) | 0.420 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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