Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Bellarmine Knights
76 – 81
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · January 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money BELL -125 / STET +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual STET +5 157 Lost
Massey BELL -2.3 (-7.3) — —
Massey Totals — 152.7 (+4.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -0.9 (-5.9) 144.5 (+12.5) 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STET -1.7 (-3.3) 144.6 (+12.4) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -0.2 (-5.2) 146.4 (+10.6) 51% ✗
Baseline ML STET -0.2 (-4.8) 147.5 (+9.5) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 BELL 92 – 71 STET
Feb 25, 2025 STET 69 – 67 BELL
Feb 7, 2024 STET 84 – 77 BELL
Jan 12, 2023 STET 80 – 51 BELL
Jan 28, 2022 BELL 72 – 47 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL STET
Overall 5-26 8-24
Conference 2-16 6-12
Home 5-10 5-9
Away 0-16 3-11
Neutral 0-0 0-4
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 70.9 69.9
Avg Pts Against 81.3 81.9
Massey -15.1 (#354) -14.0 (#350)
Bradley-Terry -3.69 (#360) -2.31 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.18 (#358) -3.26 (#343)
RPI 0.344 (#361) 0.401 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL STET
FG% 43.9% 43.4%
3PT% 34.0% 33.1%
REB / G 28.4 32.4
OREB / G 6.8 8.2
AST / TO 1.01 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 49.7%
TOV% 19.2% 20.3%
ORB% 21.6% 24.4%
FT Rate 21.6% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.6% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 13.2%
DRB% 69.8% 62.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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