Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -125 STET +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +29 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -0.6 (-28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.1 (-28.9) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -1.3 (-27.7) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -1.2 (-27.8) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -2.5 (-26.5) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | BELL 92 – 71 STET |
| Feb 25, 2025 | STET 69 – 67 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STET 81 – 76 BELL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | STET 84 – 77 BELL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | BELL 72 – 47 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#252) | -0.0 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#274) | 0.58 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#274) | 0.69 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.542 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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