Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -1.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual BELL +25 119 Lost
Massey BELL -1.5 (-23.5) — —
Massey Totals — 131.8 (-12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -3.1 (-21.9) 134.3 (-15.3) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -2.1 (-22.9) 131.4 (-12.4) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -2.6 (-22.4) 136.3 (-17.3) 34% ✓
Baseline ML BELL -2.2 (-22.8) 136.0 (-17.0) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 BELL 92 – 71 STET
Feb 25, 2025 STET 69 – 67 BELL
Jan 25, 2025 STET 81 – 76 BELL
Feb 7, 2024 STET 84 – 77 BELL
Jan 12, 2023 STET 80 – 51 BELL

Game Analysis

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