Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +150 STET -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -3.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.5 (-3.5) | 143.0 (+18.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -3.2 (-3.8) | 141.7 (+19.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.5 (-3.5) | 141.9 (+19.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.5 (-3.5) | 143.5 (+17.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | BELL 92 – 71 STET |
| Feb 25, 2025 | STET 69 – 67 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | STET 81 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | STET 80 – 51 BELL |
| Jan 28, 2022 | BELL 72 – 47 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 11-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-16 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#313) | -2.3 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#324) | 0.12 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#320) | -0.26 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#313) | 0.515 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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