Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | WGA -278 UNF +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | WGA -6.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -5.4 (-13.4) | 162.2 (-8.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -5.6 (-13.6) | 161.0 (-7.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -5.4 (-13.4) | 160.3 (-6.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -5.9 (-13.9) | 160.2 (-6.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WGA 93 – 85 UNF |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WGA 85 – 73 UNF |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WGA 92 – 72 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 89.6 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#313) | -13.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#281) | -2.52 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#303) | -3.20 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#266) | 0.408 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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