Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | WGA +270 UNF -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +20 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -5.3 (+25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -3.8 (+23.8) | 162.3 (+1.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -4.8 (+24.8) | 160.1 (+3.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -5.0 (+25.0) | 157.5 (+6.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -4.5 (+24.5) | 157.7 (+6.3) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WGA 93 – 85 UNF |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNF 81 – 73 WGA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WGA 85 – 73 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#339) | -3.7 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#345) | -0.24 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#349) | -0.31 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#330) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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