Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +130 WGA -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | WGA -0.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -0.1 (-11.9) | 158.5 (-0.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -2.5 (-9.5) | 155.6 (+2.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -3.0 (-9.0) | 156.3 (+1.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -3.7 (-8.3) | 158.7 (-0.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WGA 93 – 85 UNF |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UNF 81 – 73 WGA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WGA 92 – 72 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#338) | -7.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#358) | -0.30 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.79 (#358) | -1.37 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#310) | 0.496 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 57.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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