Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -108 FAIR -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +5 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -1.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -0.0 (-5.0) | 148.8 (+30.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SHU -0.7 (-5.7) | 147.7 (+31.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SHU -0.3 (-5.3) | 147.8 (+31.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.4 (-5.4) | 149.7 (+29.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FAIR 67 – 57 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#291) | -6.1 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#273) | -0.65 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#261) | -1.06 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.494 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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