Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -185 FAIR +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -5.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.7 (+9.3) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.3 (+9.7) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.2 (+9.8) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.3 (+9.7) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FAIR 67 – 57 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#263) | -10.9 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#261) | -1.20 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#267) | -1.80 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#234) | 0.449 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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