Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR N/A SHU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FAIR -5.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -4.5 (+5.5) | 149.1 (-3.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -4.2 (+5.8) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -4.8 (+5.2) | 151.4 (-5.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -4.6 (+5.4) | 151.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FAIR 67 – 57 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#262) | -8.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#219) | -1.22 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#235) | -1.47 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.470 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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