Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +100 SHU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -2.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.1 (-3.9) | 147.3 (+0.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.3 (-4.7) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.4 (-3.6) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.4 (-3.6) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FAIR 67 – 57 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#338) | -6.2 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#277) | -1.06 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#310) | -1.26 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#270) | 0.462 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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