Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -120 FAIR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +10 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -5.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.4 (-13.4) | 144.8 (-20.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.4 (-11.4) | 147.0 (-23.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.9 (-13.9) | 147.3 (-23.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.1 (-14.1) | 145.9 (-21.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#288) | -5.6 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#287) | -1.55 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#293) | -2.35 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#309) | 0.406 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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