Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -275 FAIR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -8.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -6.6 (+14.4) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -5.6 (+15.4) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.4 (+15.6) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.6 (+15.4) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FAIR 67 – 57 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#262) | -11.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#255) | -1.22 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#259) | -1.93 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#229) | 0.449 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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