Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1800 CSUB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -17.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -14.0 (+2.0) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -16.9 (-0.9) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.5 (+2.5) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -14.0 (+2.0) | 142.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UCI 75 – 56 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 83.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#105) | -1.34 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#106) | -2.18 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#95) | 0.415 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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