Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -1600 CSUB +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -16.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.2 (-8.2) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.5 (-7.5) | 138.5 (+9.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.7 (-7.7) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.9 (-7.9) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UCI 75 – 56 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#74) | -5.3 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#83) | -0.97 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#87) | -1.16 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#56) | 0.433 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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