Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +500 UCI -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.3 (+4.3) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.2 (+4.2) | 143.3 (+14.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.9 (+3.9) | 141.1 (+16.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.5 (+4.5) | 140.1 (+17.9) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UCI 75 – 56 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#320) | 2.0 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#268) | 0.46 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#282) | 0.69 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#323) | 0.524 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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