Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -1800 CSUB +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -18.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -11.9 (+4.1) | 136.2 (+11.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.9 (+1.1) | 138.1 (+9.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -13.4 (+2.6) | 136.1 (+11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.5 (+2.5) | 136.2 (+11.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UCI 75 – 56 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 14-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#41) | -1.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#6) | -0.48 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.49 (#8) | -0.65 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#22) | 0.468 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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