Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB +250 UCI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -9.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.3 (-0.7) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.0 (-1.0) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -6.9 (-2.1) | 138.2 (-1.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.4 (-1.6) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
| Dec 31, 2023 | UCI 75 – 56 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#234) | 8.2 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#221) | 2.04 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#221) | 2.10 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#273) | 0.594 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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