Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | CSUB +360 UCI -480 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -10.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.6 (-8.4) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.5 (-8.5) | 138.9 (-7.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.2 (-8.8) | 140.3 (-9.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.9 (-9.1) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-0 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#271) | 9.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#274) | 1.21 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#269) | 1.56 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#329) | 0.576 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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