Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -245 WVU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -3.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -2.1 (-7.1) | 129.5 (-16.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -1.5 (-6.5) | 124.8 (-11.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -1.8 (-6.8) | 126.6 (-13.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -2.3 (-7.3) | 128.0 (-15.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | WVU 62 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 20, 2025 | WVU 62 – 59 CIN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | WVU 63 – 50 CIN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | CIN 90 – 85 WVU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CIN 92 – 56 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#59) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#81) | 1.56 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#72) | 2.16 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#107) | 0.535 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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