Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -165 CIN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -4.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.3 (+0.7) | 131.4 (-10.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.4 (-0.4) | 130.3 (-9.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -3.9 (-0.9) | 131.5 (-10.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.6 (-0.6) | 131.3 (-10.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 CIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WVU 62 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | WVU 63 – 50 CIN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | CIN 90 – 85 WVU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CIN 92 – 56 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#39) | 12.2 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#52) | 1.55 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#53) | 2.02 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#63) | 0.546 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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