In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -1.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money WVU -110 / CIN -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +2 122 Won
Massey WVU -3.8 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 129.2 (-7.2)
Bradley-Terry 60%
Weighted B-T 59%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -4.4 (-2.4) 135.4 (-13.4) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -2.8 (-0.8) 132.9 (-10.9) 63%
Baseline ML WVU -3.1 (-1.1) 131.1 (-9.1) 59%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -3.3 (-1.3) 136.2 (-14.2) 60%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 WVU 5954 CIN
Feb 20, 2025 WVU 6259 CIN
Feb 2, 2025 WVU 6350 CIN
Mar 12, 2024 CIN 9085 WVU
Mar 9, 2024 CIN 9256 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU CIN
Overall 21-14 18-15
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 15-3 15-3
Away 3-6 2-8
Neutral 3-5 1-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak W3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.6 73.1
Avg Pts Against 65.7 67.6
Massey 8.2 (#75) 8.3 (#74)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#148) 0.56 (#122)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#133) 0.99 (#109)
RPI 0.476 (#214) 0.510 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU CIN
FG% 45.3% 42.6%
3PT% 35.4% 31.6%
REB / G 36.1 39.4
OREB / G 11.2 11.4
AST / TO 1.34 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 50.1%
TOV% 16.0% 18.1%
ORB% 32.6% 30.2%
FT Rate 28.6% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 45.7%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 20.1%
DRB% 73.4% 76.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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