We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Cincinnati Bearcats
90 85
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
West Virginia Mountaineers
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -9.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CIN -500 / WVU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual CIN +5 175 Won
Massey CIN -11.5 (-6.5)
Massey Totals 143.5 (+31.5)
Bradley-Terry 80%
Weighted B-T 83%
Efficiency Plus ML CIN -9.6 (-4.6) 143.4 (+31.6) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -10.8 (-5.8) 143.0 (+32.0) 85%
Baseline ML CIN -10.4 (-5.4) 145.5 (+29.5) 85%
Baseline Plus ML CIN -11.0 (-6.0) 143.1 (+31.9) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 WVU 5954 CIN
Jan 7, 2026 WVU 6260 CIN
Feb 20, 2025 WVU 6259 CIN
Feb 2, 2025 WVU 6350 CIN
Mar 9, 2024 CIN 9256 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN WVU
Overall 22-15 9-23
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 16-5 9-9
Away 4-8 0-9
Neutral 2-2 0-5
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 74.7 69.8
Avg Pts Against 68.2 76.8
Massey 12.9 (#30) 1.4 (#143)
Bradley-Terry 1.41 (#74) 0.01 (#170)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#64) 0.28 (#152)
RPI 0.551 (#81) 0.483 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN WVU
FG% 44.5% 42.6%
3PT% 32.1% 34.6%
REB / G 39.7 33.8
OREB / G 13.8 9.3
AST / TO 1.22 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 49.0%
TOV% 17.6% 18.5%
ORB% 37.9% 26.8%
FT Rate 19.7% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 15.1%
DRB% 74.5% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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