Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +110 ELON -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -2.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.4 (+10.4) | 143.8 (+22.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -2.1 (+10.1) | 141.4 (+24.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -1.6 (+9.6) | 142.8 (+23.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -2.1 (+10.1) | 143.1 (+22.9) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2025 | ELON 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | HAMP 56 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ELON 80 – 74 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2023 | ELON 70 – 68 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#262) | -1.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#271) | -0.06 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#278) | -0.26 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#287) | 0.509 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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