Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Hampton Pirates
74 80
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ELON -1.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money HAMP +120 / ELON -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual ELON +6 154 Lost
Massey ELON -2.4 (-3.6)
Massey Totals 160.2 (-6.2)
Bradley-Terry 17%
Weighted B-T 16%
Efficiency Plus ML ELON -2.6 (-3.4) 152.5 (+1.5) 40%
Baseline Tuned ML ELON -3.0 (-3.0) 151.2 (+2.8) 31%
Baseline ML ELON -3.0 (-3.0) 153.0 (+1.0) 32%
Baseline Plus ML ELON -3.4 (-2.6) 153.1 (+0.9) 38%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 HAMP 8779 ELON
Jan 5, 2025 ELON 7062 HAMP
Mar 8, 2024 HAMP 5655 ELON
Feb 14, 2023 ELON 7068 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP ELON
Overall 9-24 13-19
Conference 3-15 6-12
Home 5-9 8-6
Away 1-12 3-11
Neutral 3-3 2-2
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.0 70.3
Avg Pts Against 78.5 76.2
Massey -14.9 (#351) -8.8 (#310)
Bradley-Terry -3.68 (#361) -1.42 (#299)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.25 (#358) -1.88 (#304)
RPI 0.353 (#360) 0.427 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP ELON
FG% 42.3% 43.4%
3PT% 32.7% 36.5%
REB / G 33.1 33.4
OREB / G 9.7 10.5
AST / TO 0.88 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 51.1%
TOV% 19.0% 17.7%
ORB% 26.7% 30.0%
FT Rate 21.8% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 14.9%
DRB% 67.9% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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