Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -188 HAMP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -4.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-40.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -3.0 (-4.0) | 143.1 (-32.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -2.7 (-3.7) | 142.7 (-31.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -2.6 (-3.6) | 141.9 (-30.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -2.5 (-3.5) | 143.0 (-32.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | HAMP 87 – 79 ELON |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ELON 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ELON 80 – 74 HAMP |
| Feb 14, 2023 | ELON 70 – 68 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#313) | -13.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#293) | -2.25 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#301) | -2.57 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#288) | 0.401 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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