That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Elon Phoenix
70 62
FINAL Conference
Hampton Pirates
Coastal Athletic Association · Schar Center · January 5, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ELON -8.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money ELON -500 / HAMP +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total ELON win
Actual ELON +8 132 Won
Massey ELON -10.3 (-2.3)
Massey Totals 134.4 (-2.4)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML ELON -7.1 (+0.9) 139.2 (-7.2) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML ELON -7.4 (+0.6) 136.5 (-4.5) 78%
Baseline ML ELON -7.4 (+0.6) 137.6 (-5.6) 77%
Baseline Plus ML ELON -6.8 (+1.2) 137.5 (-5.5) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 HAMP 8779 ELON
Mar 8, 2024 HAMP 5655 ELON
Jan 27, 2024 ELON 8074 HAMP
Feb 14, 2023 ELON 7068 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ELON HAMP
Overall 17-16 17-16
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 10-4 10-4
Away 6-9 4-9
Neutral 1-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 69.6
Avg Pts Against 70.9 70.8
Massey 2.9 (#117) -3.2 (#222)
Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#146) -0.11 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#141) -0.06 (#169)
RPI 0.503 (#163) 0.501 (#170)
Shooting & Four Factors ELON HAMP
FG% 43.2% 38.2%
3PT% 33.2% 31.9%
REB / G 41.7 34.5
OREB / G 13.1 12.7
AST / TO 1.05 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 44.3%
TOV% 18.7% 15.8%
ORB% 38.1% 33.1%
FT Rate 29.4% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.4% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 12.7% 20.1%
DRB% 69.7% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 15.5% 31.5%

Game Analysis

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