Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -275 HAMP +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -7.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -4.5 (-2.5) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -5.4 (-3.4) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -5.2 (-3.2) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.3 (-2.3) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | HAMP 87 – 79 ELON |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ELON 70 – 62 HAMP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | HAMP 56 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ELON 80 – 74 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#319) | -12.4 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#347) | -1.95 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#342) | -2.53 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#345) | 0.410 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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