Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -115 MONM -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | STBK -2.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -2.8 (-3.8) | 139.3 (+11.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -2.4 (-3.4) | 139.0 (+12.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -3.2 (-4.2) | 137.1 (+13.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -3.0 (-4.0) | 138.9 (+12.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONM 82 – 69 STBK |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MONM 79 – 69 STBK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONM 78 – 56 STBK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MONM 84 – 61 STBK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | STBK 72 – 65 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | -2.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#152) | -0.72 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#180) | -0.89 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#141) | 0.458 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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