Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -440 JAX N/A |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +9 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -8.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -7.3 (+1.7) | 146.2 (+30.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -7.1 (+1.9) | 144.9 (+32.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -6.7 (+2.3) | 145.7 (+31.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -6.6 (+2.4) | 147.4 (+29.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | QUC 77 – 51 JAX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JAX 87 – 77 QUC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | QUC 74 – 65 JAX |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JAX 79 – 77 QUC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | JAX 77 – 70 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#213) | -8.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#213) | -1.23 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#221) | -1.69 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#215) | 0.454 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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