And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -2.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money QUC -150 / JAX +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +9 139 Won
Massey QUC -4.1 (+4.9)
Massey Totals 154.5 (-15.5)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -2.7 (+6.3) 148.7 (-9.7) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -1.9 (+7.1) 147.1 (-8.1) 61%
Baseline ML QUC -2.0 (+7.0) 148.3 (-9.3) 59%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -2.3 (+6.7) 148.8 (-9.8) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 QUC 9384 JAX
Jan 9, 2026 QUC 7751 JAX
Jan 25, 2025 JAX 8777 QUC
Jan 19, 2024 JAX 7977 QUC
Jan 21, 2023 JAX 7770 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC JAX
Overall 14-19 16-17
Conference 7-9 5-11
Home 11-3 11-3
Away 2-16 4-14
Neutral 1-0 1-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 69.6
Avg Pts Against 82.6 74.6
Massey -7.4 (#291) -8.1 (#304)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#276) -0.87 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.32 (#282) -1.05 (#261)
RPI 0.447 (#279) 0.457 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC JAX
FG% 43.2% 43.3%
3PT% 31.9% 32.6%
REB / G 35.8 34.7
OREB / G 10.7 11.0
AST / TO 1.05 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 48.8%
TOV% 16.0% 20.1%
ORB% 27.6% 32.9%
FT Rate 23.5% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 17.0%
DRB% 69.9% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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