Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -150 JAX +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -4.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.3 (+6.7) | 148.8 (-9.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -2.7 (+6.3) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.9 (+7.1) | 147.1 (-8.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.0 (+7.0) | 148.3 (-9.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUC 93 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 9, 2026 | QUC 77 – 51 JAX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JAX 87 – 77 QUC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JAX 79 – 77 QUC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | JAX 77 – 70 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#291) | -8.1 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#276) | -0.87 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#282) | -1.05 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#279) | 0.457 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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