Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -115 JAX -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +10 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -0.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.1 (-9.9) | 140.7 (+23.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -0.3 (-10.3) | 141.5 (+22.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -0.5 (-10.5) | 140.6 (+23.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.4 (-10.4) | 141.7 (+22.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUC 93 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 9, 2026 | QUC 77 – 51 JAX |
| Feb 17, 2024 | QUC 74 – 65 JAX |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JAX 79 – 77 QUC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | JAX 77 – 70 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#216) | -0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#172) | 0.36 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#196) | 0.63 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#170) | 0.522 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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