Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | JAX +185 QUC -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +26 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -1.8 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -1.6 (-24.4) | 149.9 (-21.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -1.9 (-24.1) | 151.4 (-23.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.0 (-25.0) | 152.8 (-24.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -1.6 (-24.4) | 153.5 (-25.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUC 93 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JAX 87 – 77 QUC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | QUC 74 – 65 JAX |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JAX 79 – 77 QUC |
| Jan 21, 2023 | JAX 77 – 70 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#312) | -4.5 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#274) | -0.78 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#292) | -1.14 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#240) | 0.458 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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