Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | JAX -150 QUC +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -1.9 (+5.1) | 136.5 (+10.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.6 (+6.4) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -2.4 (+4.6) | 139.0 (+8.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -2.1 (+4.9) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUC 93 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 9, 2026 | QUC 77 – 51 JAX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JAX 87 – 77 QUC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | QUC 74 – 65 JAX |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JAX 79 – 77 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#204) | -0.9 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#143) | 0.19 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#145) | -0.10 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#108) | 0.503 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.