Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | JAX -125 QUC +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -2.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -1.2 (+0.8) | 155.2 (+0.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.9 (+1.1) | 153.3 (+2.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -1.6 (+0.4) | 153.3 (+2.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.7 (+1.3) | 153.4 (+2.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUC 93 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 9, 2026 | QUC 77 – 51 JAX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JAX 87 – 77 QUC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | QUC 74 – 65 JAX |
| Jan 21, 2023 | JAX 77 – 70 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#319) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#273) | -0.56 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#278) | -1.17 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#253) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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