I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -15.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money QUIN -1650 / CAN +950
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +15 135 Won
Massey QUIN -15.3 (-0.3)
Massey Totals 141.4 (-6.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -11.4 (+3.6) 139.1 (-4.1) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.0 (+4.0) 138.5 (-3.5) 87%
Baseline ML QUIN -11.4 (+3.6) 138.3 (-3.3) 86%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -11.4 (+3.6) 137.7 (-2.7) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 6763 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 8971 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 7652 CAN
Feb 4, 2024 QUIN 8863 CAN
Dec 2, 2023 CAN 9373 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 19-13 10-21
Conference 12-8 5-15
Home 10-5 7-8
Away 9-7 3-13
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 62.2
Avg Pts Against 72.6 71.4
Massey -2.1 (#199) -14.4 (#349)
Bradley-Terry 0.07 (#163) -1.85 (#323)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#151) -2.38 (#323)
RPI 0.530 (#112) 0.426 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 44.1% 39.8%
3PT% 35.0% 33.5%
REB / G 35.5 32.9
OREB / G 11.6 10.5
AST / TO 1.22 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 46.5%
TOV% 15.8% 19.6%
ORB% 32.6% 29.9%
FT Rate 22.1% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.4%
DRB% 67.1% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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