Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CAN -150 QUIN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +20 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -10.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -3.3 (+16.7) | 148.8 (+17.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -5.0 (+15.0) | 146.9 (+19.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.6 (+15.4) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.4 (+15.6) | 149.4 (+16.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | QUIN 67 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 6, 2026 | QUIN 75 – 60 CAN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 71 CAN |
| Mar 13, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | QUIN 88 – 63 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#152) | -3.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#125) | 0.85 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#153) | 0.76 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#119) | 0.514 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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