I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -16.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money QUIN -2000 / CAN +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +18 160 Won
Massey QUIN -17.3 (+0.7) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (+12.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -14.7 (+3.3) 147.5 (+12.5) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -13.8 (+4.2) 149.1 (+10.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -14.1 (+3.9) 147.6 (+12.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -14.3 (+3.7) 148.0 (+12.0) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 67 – 63 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 75 – 60 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 76 – 52 CAN
Feb 4, 2024 QUIN 88 – 63 CAN
Dec 2, 2023 CAN 93 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 20-13 3-28
Conference 15-5 3-17
Home 12-2 1-12
Away 7-10 2-15
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.0 64.8
Avg Pts Against 72.2 78.6
Massey -1.8 (#191) -15.9 (#356)
Bradley-Terry 0.00 (#179) -2.94 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.09 (#182) -3.30 (#349)
RPI 0.540 (#104) 0.396 (#338)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 41.1% 43.0%
3PT% 28.6% 36.8%
REB / G 38.9 26.2
OREB / G 12.5 6.1
AST / TO 1.01 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 50.6%
TOV% 17.5% 17.8%
ORB% 33.8% 19.0%
FT Rate 22.6% 16.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 57.2%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 15.6%
DRB% 71.8% 65.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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