And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -6.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money QUIN -300 / CAN +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +25 151 Won
Massey QUIN -6.1 (+18.9)
Massey Totals 151.3 (-0.3)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -6.3 (+18.7) 149.8 (+1.2) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.9 (+18.1) 147.8 (+3.2) 80%
Baseline ML QUIN -6.7 (+18.3) 148.9 (+2.1) 81%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -7.2 (+17.8) 148.8 (+2.2) 81%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 6763 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 7560 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 8971 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 7652 CAN
Dec 2, 2023 CAN 9373 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 24-10 14-18
Conference 15-5 8-12
Home 13-3 8-4
Away 10-5 3-12
Neutral 1-2 3-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 69.1
Avg Pts Against 71.9 72.2
Massey -1.0 (#183) -3.6 (#233)
Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#109) -0.89 (#264)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#139) -1.05 (#260)
RPI 0.539 (#109) 0.469 (#231)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 43.6% 43.9%
3PT% 32.4% 34.3%
REB / G 37.6 36.3
OREB / G 11.2 11.6
AST / TO 1.10 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 50.3%
TOV% 17.6% 19.3%
ORB% 32.0% 32.2%
FT Rate 25.4% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.8%
DRB% 72.6% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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