Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -6.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money QUIN -300 / CAN +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +25 151 Won
Massey QUIN -6.1 (+18.9) — —
Massey Totals — 151.3 (-0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -7.2 (+17.8) 148.8 (+2.2) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -6.3 (+18.7) 149.8 (+1.2) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.9 (+18.1) 147.8 (+3.2) 80% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -6.7 (+18.3) 148.9 (+2.1) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 67 – 63 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 75 – 60 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 89 – 71 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 76 – 52 CAN
Dec 2, 2023 CAN 93 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 24-10 14-18
Conference 15-5 8-12
Home 13-3 8-4
Away 10-5 3-12
Neutral 1-2 3-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 69.1
Avg Pts Against 71.9 72.2
Massey -1.0 (#183) -3.6 (#233)
Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#109) -0.89 (#264)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#139) -1.05 (#260)
RPI 0.539 (#109) 0.469 (#231)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 43.6% 43.9%
3PT% 32.4% 34.3%
REB / G 37.6 36.3
OREB / G 11.2 11.6
AST / TO 1.10 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 50.3%
TOV% 17.6% 19.3%
ORB% 32.0% 32.2%
FT Rate 25.4% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.8%
DRB% 72.6% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 17.5% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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