Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -455 NE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -11.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -10.4 (+6.6) | 150.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.4 (+7.6) | 148.1 (-5.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -11.5 (+5.5) | 150.0 (-7.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.3 (+6.7) | 151.8 (-8.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NE 71 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-2 | 2-10 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | -4.9 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#126) | -1.21 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#114) | -1.38 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#72) | 0.447 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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