Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | NE -145 HOF +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +18 | 92 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -7.3 (-25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-42.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -4.4 (-22.4) | 133.6 (-41.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -3.9 (-21.9) | 133.0 (-41.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -4.4 (-22.4) | 133.7 (-41.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.1 (-22.1) | 134.2 (-42.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NE 71 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#161) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#141) | 0.16 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#145) | -0.14 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.510 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.