Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -155 NE +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -4.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.4 (-11.4) | 133.7 (+11.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.1 (-12.1) | 134.0 (+11.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.4 (-11.4) | 133.9 (+11.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.4 (-11.4) | 134.3 (+10.7) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NE 71 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#181) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#176) | -0.08 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#173) | -0.23 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.508 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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