Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -300 NE +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +20 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -8.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -7.5 (+12.5) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.9 (+10.1) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -7.2 (+12.8) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -7.1 (+12.9) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Jan 12, 2024 | NE 71 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#136) | -3.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | -0.64 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#137) | -0.60 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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