Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NE +163 HOF -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -2.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.5 (+4.5) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.6 (+6.6) | 137.7 (+1.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.9 (+4.9) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.0 (+5.0) | 138.7 (+0.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#214) | 3.9 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#231) | 0.59 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | 0.82 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.549 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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